Overview

Composite risk score, current drivers, and source freshness in one frame.

One or more sources have failed to refresh.

Composite Score

69

High Risk

As of Mar 16, 2026

Freshness

7

failed

One or more sources have failed to refresh.

1M Score Change

+3.00

Recent pressure

3M: +14.00

Composite score history

2021-03-17 to 2026-03-16

Key Drivers

Indicators currently shaping the backdrop

US 10Y minus 3M Treasury Spread

0.51%

flattening5 pts
1m+0.15
3m0.00

Shiller CAPE

38.2x

bubble_risk20 pts
1m+0.90
3m+1.30

M2 Money Stock YoY

4.29%

moderate3 pts
1m+0.06
3m-0.04

Margin Debt YoY

36.47%

speculative15 pts
1mUnavailable
3mUnavailable

High Yield Spread

3.27%

complacent3 pts
1m+0.32
3m+0.29

Top-10 Concentration Proxy

36.70%

extreme15 pts
1m+0.60
3m+0.90